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OxGrove Democrats Blog

News items and discussions of interest to members, visitors, and friends of the Ox-Grove Area Democrats and the Ox-Grove Area Democrats website. Check us out at http://www.oxgrovedems.org/

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Why No Polling in Our District?

All the other southeast PA House races are getting a great deal of attention nationally, and from pollers.

Changing dynamic
Democrats are aiming to pick up at least 15 seats next month to capture control of the House of Representatives. Issues of war and terrorism have reinforced longer-term demographic trends to make these historically Republican communities a target-rich environment for the challengers.

The forces that produced this new competitiveness pose a threat to Republican control of both chambers of Congress. Sen. Rick Santorum won these communities six years ago. Now he is in a pitched battle to retain their support, one that could determine whether he will get a chance to seek the number two Republican Senate leadership spot in the next Congress.

"All three are competitive,'' said Matt Kerbel, a political science professor at Villanova University. "The Philadelphia suburbs are turning blue."



It's great that other districts are considered competitive and are the subject of so much attention and scrutiny, but I believe that our district is JUST as competitive as the races to oust Reps. Gerlach, Weldon, and Fitzpatrick. Why would our voters be so different from theirs?

But unless we get some polling data, how can we know? It's important to keep up the energy level even though we aren't getting the publicity here that the other races have generated.

Real Clear Politics Polling Data on House Races

In good news, though, the most recent Rasmussen Poll has Casey leading Santorum by a WHOPPING 13%!

submitted by Karen L.

Link

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